When the schedule was released, this was a game many of us circled. A good Thursday game! Who knew they made these anymore?
Well, fast forward to reality and we have the 4-3 Ravens who have zero passing game visiting the 3-4 Buccaneers who just lost to the Panthers. It’s not been pretty.
Tampa Bay is a 2-point home favorite in a game that features a total of 46 points. Tampa has been hard-pressed to find the endzone this year. Baltimore lives to hit the under. They are also 2-4 against the spread this season. They’ve played under their implied total in four consecutive games.
Can we finally see these teams’ offenses get moving in the right direction again?
If so, it will start with the Quarterbacks.
Tom Brady is getting three bonus points tonight vs Lamar Jackson.
Typically, I’d always lean toward Jackson because of the rushing upside. But Jackson is struggling to find the end zone. He’s only rushed for two scores in
the entire year. He hasn’t found the end zone as a rusher since Week 3.
Jackson as a passer hasn’t been much better. He hasn’t thrown for multiple touchdowns since his four TD performance in that same Week 3 explosion.
Let’s not forget that the Ravens' pass catchers are extremely beaten up. Mark Andrews hasn’t practiced all week coming off his zero-catch performance. Star wideout Rashod Bateman has a lingering foot issue and only logged one practice.
Brady hasn’t set the world on fire himself. His offensive line is terrible. The Bucs can’t run. And when he does find an open receiver, they’ve been known to drop the ball.
I feel Brady gets right at home. I can’t see Tampa losing three straight. This has all the makings of an “Angry Brady” week.
The Ravens' defense is no slouch. They are fourth in the league in sacks. But they can give up yardage. On the season they are 30th in passing yards allowed.
I like Brady to throw for three scores and Tampa rights the ship. Give me Tommy Boy and the bonus points.
TopProp Play: Brady (+3) > Lamar
Sometimes in fantasy and betting, we need to have an edge. For me it’s information.
Simply looking at the injury we report we can see that Mark Andrews is beaten up. He hasn’t practiced all week and the week prior was limited at best. He goose-egged us last Sunday!
Why would we bet on a player we know is hurt? We wouldn’t. But at TopProp we can bet against him!
I’m taking Mike Evans over Mark Andrews (+.5 bonus) tonight.
TopProp Play: Evans > Andrews (+.5)
Evans will redeem himself for the long drop from last week.
Andrews on the other hand will be hobbling all over the field while being the focus of the defensive game plan.
Last week Andrews only saw two targets, but the Ravens only threw 16 passes. He did manage to run the ball once on a trick play. The Ravens will continue to pound the rock tonight, which means that Andrews will be more of a decoy.
The Ravens rank 26th in passing yards per game. With Andrews and Bateman dinged up I expect them to lean heavily on the run game.
Speaking of run game, Tampa Bay doesn’t have one. They are averaging 3.73 yards per rush (26th). This lousy offensive line is putting the Bucs into longer down and distance situations on third down. Tampa is 26th in 3rd down conversions. This is a team with Brady, Godwin, Evans, and Fournette! It’s a mess.
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Good luck everyone!
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